Post by porsche on Mar 31, 2016 22:05:17 GMT
Mark is out and I'm feeling happy. I would rather Cody go, but I'll still take it. I was really worried Austin would put up David, I would be forced to use my veto to save him and then I would be going into the final 6 very vulnerable. I don't know how much of a role I played in convincing Austin, but he put Mark up which was exactly what I wanted.
Mark did some campaigning to me before the veto was used and he did make some good points. He said he wouldn't put me up and I kind of believe him? I can totally see him putting up David and Louise. But the thing is, I know that if the veto was used, I would be going up. He's tight with Austin and he's working with Cody. Obviously I wouldn't be in danger since I still have my veto, but I won't have my veto for much longer. Mark is a huge threat and while it is a good thing to keep him and David in so they go after each other and not me, that shield only works for so long, and with Mark being a big threat, a strong competitor and me being #3 on his target list, I thought it was a good move to take him out.
The one reason I can see for why it would have made sense to vote out Sarah was because of the dynamics. I can see Sarah potentially becoming the third to Cody and Louise, while if Mark was in, he and Louise wouldn't get along.
That is very troubling. However, I have my own relationship with Sarah. She's hinted at final 2 and talked about how we have a secret partnership. I want to believe her. Do I really? No. Our conversations don't feel like something I would be having with my final 2. Part of this is because she is The. Worst. Conversation. Partner. Ever. Seriously. I'll start having a conversation with her and she takes forever to respond. 2-3 minutes is the best case scenario, but usually it's more like 10. Sometimes she just disappears. I'll be talking to her, she'll stop replying, I'll be waiting for her to respond and she never will. And then a couple hours later, she'll message me like nothing happened. And she's never online except in the evening. She's also very vague. She's talked about needing to break up Cody and Louise which is music to my ears, but then a couple lines later she said she wouldn't want to be the one to do it. I finally asked her what she would do if she won HOH and 40 minutes later she said Austin/David. I don't think she would mind if Cody and Louise got broken up, but she likes them a lot more than Austin and David.
Hopefully Sarah is trustworthy. I'm also pretty sure Austin and Mark had a deal. Everything fits, from Austin promising Mark safety to him being adamant that Mark shouldn't go to Austin believing Mark's story without a second thought. Austin didn't actually tell me they had a deal though, so I was very happy to break it up. Austin even became okay with Mark going in the end, so this was a vote everybody was okay with, even Mark.
I really want to win this HOH. I'm itching to get rid of Cody. He's the only person I don't feel safe with and he's lasted much longer than I wanted. I want to be able to put SOMETHING on my resume. Ideally, I would be in the final 5 with Austin/David who want to keep me, and hopefully the other two are Sarah/Louise and they would target Austin and David over me. I'm going to be vulnerable in the final 5 when my veto expires and I want to make sure my bases are covered.
With this being a fast forward, I think it's very important to map out the possibilities. I'll be forced to make decisions that impact the rest of the game in a couple minutes and I'm not good at making decisions under pressure. If I already know what I want, I'm at an advantage.
Porsche wins HOH: Cody would be my target. I would need to put up him and Louise. Louise will be upset but if I don't put her up we could get a repeat of last week where she wins veto and pulls Cody down. Hopefully the veto isn't used but if it is, I think Sarah will have to be the replacement which is scary because she could go home, especially if she's against Louise. The worst case scenario would be Sarah winning veto and using it, and then I lose one of Austin and David.
David wins HOH: Might be even better than me winning it. I couldn't talk to him for that long last night but it sounded like I convinced him to do the same nominations I would. The worst case would be Sarah winning POV and using it. I'm not in danger with my secret POV, so Austin would be out.
Sarah wins HOH: She basically told me she would do Austin/David. If I'm not nominated, great. If the veto is used, one of Austin/David come down. Even if it isn't used, I can pull Austin down with my veto, we're both safe and we have the majority. I just need to make sure he agrees that we need to keep David, at least for this round.
Louise wins HOH: No idea. David would be going up from what she told me although David seems to think he patched things up with her. She said Mark would be her other nominee but now Mark is gone. So would it be Austin? Me? I can't tell. I never talk game with this girl and I'm very concerned about where she stands. I never really talk a lot of game with her anyway but still, we're going into the final 6 here. I would hope she would open up. But anyway, if I'm not an initial nominee, it looks very similar to a Sarah HOH. If I am, then as long as me, David or Austin win the veto, then Sarah goes. A Louise HOH also leads to my favorite scenario. She puts up David/Austin, I win the veto, pull down both David and Austin, she has to put Sarah and Cody up and Cody is sent home on a Louise HOH.
Cody wins HOH: I have even less of an idea. It would for sure be two of me/Austin/David but which two? It sounded like he wants Austin out and David did nominate him. Cody doesn't talk game with me but he never did anyway. But still, he would have to be really dumb to not realize I want him out. David has also pushed to save Cody multiple times, so yeah, it would probably be me and Austin. If Cody/Sarah/Louise won veto and didn't use it, then I see myself basically being forced to pick who to let go between Austin and David. I trust Austin more and I think it makes more sense to let David go, especially if I would want him out next anyway, but I need to think about this.
However, all of my talk about how to get "us" through this fast forward doesn't mean I'm loyal to the end to David and Austin. I'm worried about the relationship forming between Sarah, Louise and Cody. Louise and Cody are incredibly tight, and Cody I need out. If Cody goes, then I think I'm in a great spot, and I can play the middle. I just need to make sure my relationship with Louise is still strong, which I'm not sure it is. It probably makes the most sense to have David follow Cody out, especially if he really did throw me and Austin under the bus. That would leave me with a final 4 with Sarah, Austin and Louise.
Where do I go from there? I'm not sure. It all depends on my least favorite part of ORGs, which is reading the jury. Seriously, I'm always terribly wrong, so maybe I'm better off just taking who I figure is the better jury threat and hoping they turn out to be a goat. Austin is who I would like to be in the end with the most. I feel like we played similar games but I did it better, but then again, that's what I say every time before taking an ally to the end who I end up losing to. Like me, he has never been nominated. Sarah is never online and hard to talk to but she pulled off the biggest move of the game by far and that's going to win her a lot of points. Louise hasn't really done that much, but she's incredibly likable and she can sell how she positioned herself so she was always in the middle. I don't know. Jen said I had her vote, I'd like to think Marvin was rooting for me (though he apparently threw me under the bus to Louise
) and I feel like Mark respects me. But now that the jurors can all talk, maybe finding out that I had separate big alliances with all of them makes them feel betrayed.
